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    全球城市競爭力榜單:紐約居首 中國21城入圍百強
      中國城市文化網  時間:2017-10-31      來源:每日經濟新聞    收藏本頁

    全球城市競爭力與可持續競爭力2017-2018排名

    2017年10月30日,世界城市日—全球城市競爭力論壇在廣州舉行,會議由聯合國人居署主辦,廣州市社會科學院和廣州城市戰略研究院承辦,中國社會科學院城市與競爭力中心協辦。

    會上,中國社會科學院(財經院)與聯合國人居署共同發布《全球城市競爭力報告2017-2018:房價,改變城市世界》(以下簡稱《報告》)。該《報告》由中國社會科學院財經戰略研究院院長助理、中國社科院—聯合國人居署聯合課題組首席城市經濟學家倪鵬飛教授與聯合國人居署、中國社科院—聯合國人居署聯合課題組首席城市經濟學家MarcoKamiya牽頭,全球眾多城市競爭力專家共同攜手,歷時一年有余聯合完成。本次報告授權《每日經濟新聞》中文摘要首發和《南華早報》英文摘要首發。

    《報告》稱,測度全球1007個城市的經濟競爭力指數,結果刷新人們以往對城市排名的認知。科技創新中心城市與新興經濟體中心城市開始打破固有全球城市格局,進入最具城市競爭力行列。

    從排名來看,全球城市經濟競爭力指數十強分別是:紐約、洛杉磯、新加坡、倫敦、舊金山、深圳、東京、圣何塞、慕尼黑、達拉斯。

    此次《報告》屬于全球城市報告系列的第二本,重點關注了全球城市經濟競爭力和可持續競爭力,并以“房價,改變城市世界”為主題,闡述了全球房地產市場概況、房價與城市競爭力的關系等。

    中國21城入圍百強

    城市功能、定位各異,競爭能力各有所長所短,構建科學合理的指標體系是評價的關鍵。按照指標最小化原則,《報告》構建了城市經濟競爭力與可持續競爭力指標體系。

    其中經濟競爭力指的是城市當前創造價值、獲取經濟租金的能力,課題組使用原創的理論與方法,從產出的角度,使用經濟密度指標與經濟增量指標,測度了全球1007個城市的競爭力指數。

    2016年全球城市經濟競爭力指數十強:紐約、洛杉磯、新加坡、倫敦、舊金山、深圳、東京、圣何塞、慕尼黑、達拉斯。

    其中,北美洲占5席,占據半壁江山,亞洲占據3席,歐洲占2席。

    從國別來看,全球城市經濟競爭力美國優勢明顯,中國迅速崛起。美國城市整體優勢明顯,且發展水平較為均衡,前十強占5席、前二十強占9席,前100強占36席。

    中國頂級城市表現良好,整體競爭力水平提升迅速,一些強二線城市表現較為亮眼,除深圳進入全球十強外,香港、上海、廣州、北京進入前20強,21個城市進入前100強,這反映了中國城市發展已經從“中心聚集”進入“擴散外溢”的較高階段。

    《報告》指出,在中國當前發展水平下,城市整體競爭力在全球城市體系中取得這樣的位置,表現實屬優異,但是也應看到,中國整體城市之間差距較大。

    中國社科院—聯合國人居署聯合課題組首席城市經濟學家倪鵬飛對《每日經濟新聞》記者表示:“信息科技中心和新興經濟體中心城市崛起,打破了全球城市競爭力體系格局,刷新了人們的認識。特別是以前最具競爭力城市多為金融中心,現在最具競爭力城市必須既是金融中心,也是科技創新的中心。”

    另外,可持續競爭力指的是城市的要素與環境的狀況,《報告》選取人力資本潛力、經濟活力、科技創新、社會包容、生態環境、營商環境、基礎設施、全球聯系等指標,測度了全球1035個城市的可持續競爭力指數。

    2016年全球可持續競爭力十強分別為紐約、倫敦、東京、波士頓、新加坡、蘇黎世、首爾、休斯敦、巴黎、芝加哥。十強中,歐美亞城市三足鼎立;在全球城市可持續競爭力百強城市中,歐洲與北美城市在數量上占據絕對優勢。

    從城市群看,美國、德國、英國城市群中進入可持續競爭力百強的中心城市比重較高。

    研究認為,以金磚國家為代表的新興市場國家城市基礎設施正迎頭趕上,特別是中國城市普遍基礎設施已經追上發達國家。中國有9個城市進入可持續競爭力百強,依次為北京、香港、上海、深圳、廣州、臺北、南京、天津、廈門。

    新型全球城市正在形成

    從全球城市格局來看,全球城市聚集也是當今全球經濟空間差異和變化的綜合反映,研究發現,三條經線劃分了全球城市人口和經濟的差異化集聚。

    這三條經線分別是東經20度、西經100度和東經110度,經線一側的經濟密度較高,另一側則呈現斷崖式分布格局。同時,經濟密度最大、收入水平較高的城市集中分布在北美與歐亞地區并呈現出一小一大的新月型集聚區。

    在全球城市聯系方面,《報告》認為,信息科技和特大城市主導全球城市軟聯系。這種軟聯系相較以物流交通為主的硬聯系對城市的影響越來越深。《報告》顯示,歐洲作為軟聯系中心主導全球城市的對內和對外聯系,非洲最低且與全球差距較大。軟聯系相對于硬聯系更廣泛、更不平衡、分化更明顯。

    研究發現,信息科技日益成為全球城市發展的首要動力。首先,信息科技使得全球城市聯系由間接聯系變為直接聯系,由個別聯系變為全面聯系,由松散聯系變為緊密聯系,由慢速聯系變為瞬時聯系,從高成本聯系變為低成本聯系。其次,信息科技正在改變全球城市網絡體系的重心性,總體上正由沿海地區向內陸地區轉移,由歐美地區向亞洲地區轉移。第三,信息科技正在改變全球城市的空間形態。

    城市發展動力、集聚、聯系的變化催生新型全球城市的形成。《報告》認為,新型全球城市形成的事實證據包括:首先,科技與金融正在主導全球經濟,占據全球價值鏈的主要部分。其次,從全球企業影響力來看,信息科技企業的影響力正變得越來越大。最后,科技中心城市在全球城市體系中的地位不斷上升,科技創新指數越高的城市,其人均GDP也就越高,相應地,可持續競爭力和經濟競爭力也越強。

    另外,《報告》指出,目前的全球城市體系既不是由產業垂直分工所決定的等級體系,也不是由產業水平分工所決定的網絡體系,而是一種鏈網體系,是等級體系和網絡體系的結合物。

    房價過高或過低都不利于城市競爭力

    此次《報告》以“房價,改變城市世界”為主題,重點研究了全球房地產市場概況,還從實證研究的角度探討了房價對城市競爭力的影響。

    《報告》認為,全球城市高房價區域表現為環大洋的“三點四帶”,即高房價區域集中在北美、西歐與東亞三點,在西經120度、西經80度、東經20度和東經110度處延伸。各國鄰近邊界的城市群已融合為跨國的大型城市群,高房價區域對距離較遠的城市形成抑制,呈現遷移效應。

    值得注意的是,《報告》發現了城市房價存在的馬太效應。也就是說,當城市房地產市場出現分化之后,其分化程度通常將持續擴大。作為馬太效應的長期結果,全球城市房地產呈現較強的兩極分化態勢。

    同時,《報告》也認為城市房地產的馬太效應并非一成不變,而是在不同的經濟發展階段和城市發展程度存在差異。處于經濟發達階段的城市的馬太效應較弱,不發達階段的城市的馬太效應較強。整體來看,發展中經濟體的高房價城市存在較高的房地產泡沫,而發達經濟體的高房價城市的房地產泡沫相對較小。

    就房價對城市競爭力的影響而言,《報告》指出,城市的相對房價與其競爭力呈倒“U”型的變化趨勢,過高或者過低的房價都不利于城市競爭力的提升。

    基于上述發現,主題報告建議,為了實現可持續的城市化,地方政府在城市化進程中應注意在城市規劃方面應遵循充足的空間、高密度、土地的復合使用、社會融合、避免功能單一化等原則,同時需要制定一個健全的財務計劃。另外,法律規章制度有利于塑造良好的城市形態和特點,政府需要發揮法律規章在城市發展中的作用。

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